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FOR
IMMEDIATE RELEASE:
SHIPMENTS
PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2001-2002
ALEXANDRIA,
VIRGINIA - NOVEMBER 2000 - The Outdoor Power Equipment Institute's
(OPEI) Economic Forecast for consumer-type equipment and certain
commercial turf products, revised in November 2000, shows a decline
in 2001 and 2002. For the 2001 model year, shipments of consumer
walk-behinds are forecast to decrease by 1.8% to 6,031,941, while
all riding units are forecast to drop 3.8% to 1,650,797. For 2002,
the drop will not be as significant: consumer walk-behinds will
be down by .7%, and all riding units will drop 1.5%. Rising mortgage
rates are impacting the housing market, and this trend is expected
to continue into 2002.
The
current forecast, for model year 2001, is September 1, 2000 -
August 31, 2001 and for model year 2002, September 1, 2001 - August
31, 2002. OPEI's Economic Forecast for the outdoor power equipment
industry is prepared by Association Research, Inc. The forecast
is compiled and released on a quarterly basis.
OPEI
is a trade association whose membership is primarily composed
of U.S. manufacturers of powered lawn and garden maintenance products,
components and attachment supplies, as well as industry related
services. OPEI's domestic members manufacture in excess of 95%
of the U.S. consumer retail market for gas and electric powered
lawn and garden maintenance products.
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SUMMARY
INFORMATION
ECONOMIC
FORECAST FOR THE OUTDOOR POWER EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY
SPONSORED
BY:
OUTDOOR POWER EQUIPMENT INSTITUTE
341 SOUTH PATRICK STREET
ALEXANDRIA, VA 22314
FORECAST
PREPARED BY:
ASSOCIATION RESEARCH, INC.
4 RESEARCH PLACE
ROCKVILLE, MD 20850
NOVEMBER
2000
This
summary information is extracted from the Outdoor Power Equipment
Instituteís (OPEI) Economic Forecast for the Outdoor Power Equipment
Industry updated in August 2000 to reflect OPEI's estimates of
total shipments for model years 2000 and 2001. The complete forecast,
based on an econometric model developed by Association Research,
Inc. (ARI), provides shipments data, by quarter, for each of the
following OPE segments:
- Walk-Behind
Power Mowers
- Rear-Engine
Riding Mowers
- Front
Engine Lawn Tractors
- Riding
Garden Tractors
- Intermediate
Size Commercial Walk-Behind Mowers
- Tillers
- Commercial
Riding Rotary Turf Mowers
Additionally,
information provided to the OPEI membership includes a comprehensive
discussion of assumptions about the U.S. economy and their relationship
to the outdoor power equipment industry.
The
table provided shows the forecast for OPEI model years 2001 (September
2000 - August 2001) and 2002 (September 2001 - August 2002).
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